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The COVID-19 pandemic led the Federal Reserve to slash interest rates to the zero lower bound (ZLB), provide support to the repo market, and purchase treasuries and corporate bonds, among other tools it has utilized. While the response of the Fed has helped shore up liquidity in the financial markets, it may need…

In a recent report, the IMF predicted Spain’s GDP could contract by 8% in 2020; the Bank of Spain estimates this year’s decline could reach 12.4% if the lockdown lasts 12 weeks (for now, the lockdown is expected to last at least eight weeks). These predictions, while grim, appear to assume a V…

Unlike last year’s contentious FOMC meeting in December, this year’s rate decision was uneventful, as the Federal Reserve kept rates, as markets expected, unchanged. Looking forward, the Fed’s dot plot points towards no change in interest rates in 2020 and a single rate hike in 2021. However, I wouldn’t put much faith in…

The Federal Reserve, as expected, lowered interest rates by 25bp to a range of 2% to 2.25%. One thing is emerging from Jay Powell, Fed’s Chair, and his way of conducting monetary policy – he doesn’t like to surprise the markets or go back on any policy message that he has already iterated…