The Yen is Gaining Ground but the BOJ’s Interest Rate Path is in Question

  • Post category:Blog
  • Post comments:0 Comments

When Bank of Japan’s Governor Kazuo Ueda announced a rate hike of 25 basis points last week, it is hard to believe he expected things would turn out the way they did: The Japanese yen appreciated by nearly 5% against the US dollar, and the Nikkei 225 had its worse day since 1987…

Continue ReadingThe Yen is Gaining Ground but the BOJ’s Interest Rate Path is in Question

Fed Relies on Forward Guidance – Keeps a “Wait and See” Message

  • Post category:Blog
  • Post comments:0 Comments

The Federal Reserve convened this week for its last meeting in 2020. The Fed didn’t make any significant changes to its policy and provided accommodating forward guidance and some clarity on its asset purchase program. The Fed expects to purchase 80 billion worth of bonds and 40 billion of MRS a month for…

Continue ReadingFed Relies on Forward Guidance – Keeps a “Wait and See” Message

What is keeping up Spain’s Housing Market?

  • Post category:Blog
  • Post comments:0 Comments

The Spanish economy could contract by 13% in 2020 (see IMF June report) and up to 15% (according to Bank of Spain’s risk scenario) amid the adverse economic ramifications of the Covid-19 pandemic. Although the economy continues to struggle, the housing market has yet to show signs of weakness. On the contrary, housing…

Continue ReadingWhat is keeping up Spain’s Housing Market?

The Federal Reserve Could Open the Door on Yield Curve Control

  • Post category:Blog
  • Post comments:0 Comments

The COVID-19 pandemic led the Federal Reserve to slash interest rates to the zero lower bound (ZLB), provide support to the repo market, and purchase treasuries and corporate bonds, among other tools it has utilized. While the response of the Fed has helped shore up liquidity in the financial markets, it may need…

Continue ReadingThe Federal Reserve Could Open the Door on Yield Curve Control

Spain’s Economic Woes Could Be Worse Than Currently Projected: Its GDP Could Fall by 20% This Year

  • Post category:Blog
  • Post comments:0 Comments

In a recent report, the IMF predicted Spain’s GDP could contract by 8% in 2020; the Bank of Spain estimates this year’s decline could reach 12.4% if the lockdown lasts 12 weeks (for now, the lockdown is expected to last at least eight weeks). These predictions, while grim, appear to assume a V…

Continue ReadingSpain’s Economic Woes Could Be Worse Than Currently Projected: Its GDP Could Fall by 20% This Year